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中國五大快遞公司股票反彈,圓通、百世漲幅最大

2019-1-30 09:47 | 來自:商用車新網

       據最新市場觀察,今年中國六大快遞公司中有五家股票反彈,因有跡象表明市場需求富有彈性且股票估值具有吸引力。


       據悉,去年投資者對該行業避而遠之,擔心業務增長放緩以及這個高度分散的市場出現惡性競爭。但本月,快遞類股大多小幅回升。在紐約上市的百世和在上海上市的圓通速遞漲幅最大,漲幅為16.5%,而上海韻達速遞(物流)有限公司股價漲幅最小,上漲6.9%。

       數據顯示,經過六年的高速增長后,快遞行業在2017年開始放緩。據研究公司Bernstein提供的數據,2017年包裹遞送量增幅幾乎減半,至28%,并在2018年進一步降至27%。按包裹價值計算,增長也在減速。不過,近期數據的比較基數要比以前大得多,相對整體經濟增長仍高出數倍,表明電子商務在中國的重要性繼續加大。而且,投資者信心本月起有所改善,原因在于數據顯示去年12月份包裹遞送量增長29%,為去年3月份以來最快增速。

       華創證券駐上海的分析師劉陽稱,上述數據看起來令人鼓舞。他預計2018年全年包裹遞送量或增長20%-25%。他表示,投資者還認為去年的劇烈跌勢令圓通速遞和申通快遞股份有限公司股票看起來很便宜。Refinitiv的數據顯示,圓通速遞基于預期利潤的市盈率為16.5倍,低于一年前的逾24倍。

       Bernstein駐香港分析師Cherry Leung預計,從長遠來看,這個年輕而又擁擠的行業將經歷整合,最終將有大約三家大公司主導快遞市場。這對較大型快遞公司也應是個利好。她說,在美國和日本等發達市場,大型快遞公司并不多,中國當前的產業結構難以維系。
【凡屬本站原創文章,如轉載請注明“來自:商用車新網”】

發布者: yangxk| 來自: 每日經濟|
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