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中国五大快递公司股票反弹,圆通、百世涨幅最大

2019-1-30 09:47 | 来自:商用车新网

       据最新市场观察,今年中国六大快递公司中有五家股票反弹,因有迹象表明市场需求富有弹性且股票估值具有吸引力。


       据悉,去年投资者对该行业避而远之,担心业务增长放缓以及这个高度分散的市场出现恶性竞争。但本月,快递类股大多小幅回升。在纽约上市的百世和在上海上市的圆通速递涨幅最大,涨幅为16.5%,而上海韵达速递(物流)有限公司股价涨幅最小,上涨6.9%。

       数据显示,经过六年的高速增长后,快递行业在2017年开始放缓。据研究公司Bernstein提供的数据,2017年包裹递送量增幅几乎减半,至28%,并在2018年进一步降至27%。按包裹价值计算,增长也在减速。不过,近期数据的比较基数要比以前大得多,相对整体经济增长仍高出数倍,表明电子商务在中国的重要性继续加大。而且,投资者信心本月起有所?#32435;疲?#21407;因在于数据显示去年12月份包裹递送量增长29%,为去年3月份以来最快增速。

       华创证券驻上海的分析师刘阳称,上述数据看起来令人鼓舞。他预计2018年全年包裹递送量或增长20%-25%。他表示,投资者还认为去年的剧?#19994;?#21183;令圆通速递和申通快递股份有限公司股票看起来很便宜。Refinitiv的数据显示,圆通速递基于预期利润的市盈率为16.5倍,低于一年前的逾24倍。

       Bernstein驻香港分析师Cherry Leung预计,从长远来看,这个年轻而又?#23548;?#30340;行业将经历整合,最终将有大约三家大公司主导快递市场。这对较大型快递公司也应是个利好。她?#25285;?#22312;美国和日本等发达市场,大型快递公司并不多,中国当前的产业结?#40723;?#20197;维系。
【凡属本站原创文章,如转载请注明“来自:商用车新网”】

发布者: yangxk| 来自: 每日经济|
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